Published: Tue, November 06, 2018
Markets | By Noel Gibbs

Angry U.S. voters head to midterm polls in referendum on Trump

Angry U.S. voters head to midterm polls in referendum on Trump

Trump and Obama are the most popular figures in their parties, and their appearances on the campaign trail are created to stoke enthusiasm among core supporters in the late stages of a midterm congressional election widely seen as a referendum on Trump's first two years in the White House. This in turn would have significant implications for President Trump, who would not be able to ignore the Democrats.

"All seats in the House of Representatives and 35 seats in the Senate are up for grab". However, the polls slightly favour Democrats in both those toss-up senate races, according to the statistical analysis site FiveThirtyEight.

Should Democrats take the House, they will be able to block party-line legislation and chair several critical committees with appropriations and subpoena power, making it hard for the president to unilaterally decide what priorities to fund, and opening him and his aides to investigation on countless fronts.

The comments came as Trump prepared for a final, three-state rally blitz as he tries to keep Congress in Republican control and stave off losses that could profoundly change his presidency. Twenty-six of the 35 Senate seats at stake are held by Democrats and nine are held by Republicans.

He pointed out that Pelosi has raised more money in the history of the U.S. Congress than anybody else, and Democrats are confident in their chances of capturing the House.

Even as networks refuse to run the ad, Trump still espouses the same message in it, often telling crowds at his rallies that the migrant caravan is full of unsafe people.

The US midterms will be a referendum on Donald Trump's presidency.

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"Democrats want to invite caravan after caravan of illegal aliens to pour into our country".

The US president has framed migrant caravans approaching through Central America as an existential crisis for country, calling it an "invasion" and dispatching more than 5,000 soldiers to the border. "No nation can allow its borders to be overrun".

"I look forward to seeing what happens, because something is going on", the president said in Cleveland.

While Trump is not on the ballot, the most polarizing United States president for decades has put himself at the center of every issue.

The Democrats would need to win two more Senate seats to gain control of the Senate.

Last week, Democrats led by three points, 47% to 44%. "You have to go out and vote". When you participate in the political process, you can be a check on bad behavior. But Trump appears to have put his finger on a very contentious spot in the American mind-space: people are anxious that the liberalism of the Democrats may work completely against the interests of those already living in the country. "I want you to vote..."

Today Americans get to give their verdict on how he is doing in midterm congressional elections.

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Other big races are Republican Pete Stauber's bid to flip a House Democratic stronghold in Minnesota, while Democrats in Florida and Georgia are aiming to become the states' first African-American governors.

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich says even if the Republicans lose and privately blame Trump for their loss, they'll have no choice but to stand by him.

But opinion polls were wrong in 2016 and as the midterm election nears, most pundits have turned to hedging their bets.

With the monthslong fight serving as a testing ground for his nationalist appeals and the strength of the coalition that powered him to the White House two years ago, Trump closed out a campaign season that has been defined by his racially charged rhetoric, hard-line immigration moves and scattershot policy proposals.

Well, I think it's a lot more complicated than that.

But with turnout a key unknown factor and pollsters still unsure about the effect of Trump's maverick style on voters, both parties admit that they may be in for a surprise. RealClearPolitics puts Trump's average approval at about 43 percent, with 53 percent disapproving. A record number of women are also running for Senate, House, governorships and state legislative seats. As many as 81 per cent of evangelicals voted for Mr Trump in 2016. "That is particularly true when a president is unpopular, as this president is".

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When they win the whole country's buoyant, when they lose GDP falls and unemployment goes up. There's a bit to be learned there.


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