Published: Fri, July 06, 2018
Global News | By Stacy Ballard

NOAA: Tropical Storm Beryl Projected Path, Spaghetti Models

NOAA: Tropical Storm Beryl Projected Path, Spaghetti Models

There's a new tropical depression in the central Atlantic, and it could strengthen and become Tropical Storm Beryl as soon as today.

Regardless if it develops, this area of low pressure will track west-northwest, north and then northeast away from the USA coastline into the weekend.

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Just hours after strengthening into a depression, Tropical Storm Beryl now has maximum sustained winds of 40 mph with higher gusts and is moving west at 16 mph. Dry air and fast upper-level winds should cause this storm to dissipate by early next week. "The track guidance is in generally good agreement, and the NHC official forecast is close to the TVCX multi-model consensus and the HCCA guidance".

The Atlantic hurricane season typically begins to peak in August and September and will end on November 30. Areas of strong wind shear, the difference in wind speed and direction with height, are shown in purple. "The cold water could have profound impacts on this year's hurricane season, since warm water is the fuel source for tropical storms".

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It is a long way from the United States and isn't expected to be a threat.

At 11 a.m., the center of the system was about 1,385 miles east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles. The storm however is not forecast to become anything more than an extremely weak tropical storm through the end of the weekend.

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The team also lowered its forecast of major hurricanes - Category 3 and above - from three to one and decreased the probability of a direct hit on the US coast from a major hurricane from 63 percent to 39 percent.

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